8 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1658
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1785
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pusch🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (226)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)