8 Nov · 10:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1785
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1667
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (226)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H65-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-42)