8 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1464
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kvasnicka
RK
🇨🇿Radim Kvasnicka
ELO 1510
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Kvasnicka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Kvasnicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.