8 Nov · 09:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1320
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1332
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Martinek stays under total as favourite 63% (38)
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.