8 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1284
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1332
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Martinek stays under total as favourite 63% (38)
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.