8 Nov · 14:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1534
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Malek
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1503
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Horak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (85)
Fair odds · Malek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.