8 Nov · 13:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1438
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schneeberger
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1412
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Kraninger covers set handicap as underdog 67% (63)
Fair odds · Schneeberger
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.