8 Nov · 14:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1706
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1667
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (302)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H83-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.