7 Nov · 23:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1448
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Barta
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1429
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as underdog 63% (92)
Fair odds · Barta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.