7 Nov · 23:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kypr
ELO 1546
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kypr
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1511
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kypr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.