7 Nov · 23:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1579
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pacha
RP
🇨🇿Robin Pacha
ELO 1595
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 66% (232)
Fair odds · Pacha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.