8 Nov · 11:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1314
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1333
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.