8 Nov · 11:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1774
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1652
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (226)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+122
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)