8 Nov · 11:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1384
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Barton
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1480
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot
Fair odds · Barton
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)