8 Nov · 15:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Marek Sedlak
ELO 1532
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tuma
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.