8 Nov · 15:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1607
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zahradka
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1684
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H30-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.