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08 Nov · 14:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DHDavid Horak
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1509
1-3Final setsMalek won
LMLukas Malek
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malek at 51%. The actual result was Lukas Malek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukas Malek favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukas Malek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukas Malek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Horak is favoured to win, below means Lukas Malek.

▲ David Horakpre 45% → final 100%
Lukas Malek ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsHorak recovered from 44%60 points · 3 games