9 Nov · 13:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1441
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tyn
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1415
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.