9 Nov · 12:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1486
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachy
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1464
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H47-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.