9 Nov · 13:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1356
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasinski
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1362
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Kasinski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (49)
Fair odds · Kasinski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.