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08 Nov · 18:02 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMihail Trinta
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1401
1-3Final setsKolenic won
TKTibor Kolenic
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolenic at 51%. The actual result was Tibor Kolenic 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tibor Kolenic favoured — closing 1.63
Favourite won
Total 76.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tibor Kolenic −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tibor Kolenic −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.27
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mihail Trinta is favoured to win, below means Tibor Kolenic.

▲ Mihail Trintapre 53% → final 50%
Tibor Kolenic ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsTrinta recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games