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08 Nov · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AWAdrian Walek
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1575
3-0Final setsWalek won
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1597
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schwan at 52%. The actual result was Adrian Walek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Schwan favoured — closing 1.83
Upset
Total 76.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Walek is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Schwan.

▲ Adrian Walekpre 44% → final 16%
Jaroslav Schwan ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSchwan recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games