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08 Nov · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VCVladimir Cermak
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1534
3-1Final setsCermak won
JTJan Trefny
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1494
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cermak at 55%. The actual result was Vladimir Cermak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vladimir Cermak favoured — closing 1.43
Favourite won
Total 74.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Vladimir Cermak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Vladimir Cermak −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vladimir Cermak is favoured to win, below means Jan Trefny.

▲ Vladimir Cermakpre 52% → final 78%
Jan Trefny ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsCermak recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games