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08 Nov · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MVMichal Vondrak
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1519
3-1Final setsVondrak won
ABAles Bayer
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vondrak at 55%. The actual result was Michal Vondrak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Vondrak favoured — closing 1.53
Favourite won
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Vondrak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Vondrak is favoured to win, below means Ales Bayer.

▲ Michal Vondrakpre 52% → final 96%
Ales Bayer ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsVondrak recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games