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09 Nov · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMarek Chlebecek
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1566
3-1Final setsChlebecek won
MRMichal Regner
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chlebecek at 51%. The actual result was Marek Chlebecek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Regner favoured — closing 1.63
Upset
Total 75.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Regner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Regner −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Chlebecek is favoured to win, below means Michal Regner.

▲ Marek Chlebecekpre 47% → final 5%
Michal Regner ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts54 points · 3 games