9 Nov · 11:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1661
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Paril
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.