9 Nov · 15:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1491
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svoboda
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1551
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 40% · 2.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H6-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.