9 Nov · 15:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1382
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kasinski
MS
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1356
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Kasinski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (51)
Fair odds · Kasinski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.