10 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1350
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vrabec
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1295
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.