10 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1372
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1379
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.