10 Nov · 10:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1295
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1286
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.