10 Nov · 18:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Svoboda
ELO 1585
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Janata
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1586
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Janata
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.