10 Nov · 17:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1586
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1599
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.