1 Jul · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Bordeaux P2 2026Low · Slight Edge
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nenno/Navarro
PR
PL
🎾Rodrigo/Lijo
ELO 1508
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers
Model 47%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 27%Total ~26 games
2-0
27%
2-1
26%
1-2
24%
0-2
23%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.