1 Jul · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Bordeaux P2 2026High · Clear Favorite
RV
A
🎾Valenzuela/Aguirre
ELO 1500
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Leal/Guerrero
FG
JL
🎾Leal/Guerrero
ELO 1568
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Leal/Guerrero
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Leal/Guerrero covers
Model 58%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~26 games
0-2
32%
1-2
28%
2-1
21%
2-0
19%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)