30 Jun · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Bordeaux P2 2026Medium · Model Lean
JJ
JG
🎾Garcia/Jimenez
ELO 1568
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Garcia/Jimenez
AR
JE
🎾Esbri/Ruiz
ELO 1520
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Garcia/Jimenez
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -1.5 · Garcia/Jimenez covers
Model 71%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 1.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 30%Total ~26 games
2-0
30%
2-1
27%
1-2
23%
0-2
21%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)