4 Jul · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Bordeaux P2 2026Elite · Strong Favorite
FS
MY
🎾Yanguas/Stupaczuk
ELO 1595
FormWWLWL
89%Win chancemodel fair 1.12Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 1704
FormWWLWW
11%
89%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 89% · 1.12vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 59%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~25 games
0-2
63%
1-2
26%
2-1
7%
2-0
4%
Elo Gap+109
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)