1 Jul · 14:00 MESZ · 🎾 Bordeaux P2 2026Low · Coin Flip
JC
LP
🎾Cabruja/Pelegri
ELO 1526
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabruja/Pelegri
AC
KS
🎾Collombon/Sharifova
ELO 1521
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cabruja/Pelegri
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Cabruja/Pelegri covers
Model 45%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 25%Total ~26 games
2-0
25%
2-1
25%
1-2
25%
0-2
25%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.