27 Jun · 18:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ValladolidHigh · Clear Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 1676
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Coello/Tapia
A
L
🎾Augsburger/Lebron
ELO 1602
FormWLWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Coello/Tapia
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Coello/Tapia covers
Model 67%vsMarket 49%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~26 games
2-0
33%
2-1
28%
1-2
21%
0-2
18%
Elo Gap+74
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)