28 Jun · 19:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel ValladolidLow · Slight Edge
AC
AT
🎾Coello/Tapia
ELO 1680
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Galan/Chingotto
G
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 1703
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 27%Total ~26 games
0-2
27%
1-2
26%
2-1
24%
2-0
23%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.