1 Jul · 18:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel BordeauxMedium · Model Lean
YB
TF
🎾Fonteny/Boronad
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chozas/Libaak
AC
TL
🎾Chozas/Libaak
ELO 1574
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chozas/Libaak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Chozas/Libaak covers
Model 50%vsMarket 44%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~26 games
0-2
31%
1-2
27%
2-1
22%
2-0
20%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)