2 Jul · 11:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel BordeauxHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
JN
🎾Nieto/Sanz
ELO 1553
FormWLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nieto/Sanz
AR
JE
🎾Esbri/Ruiz
ELO 1528
FormWLWLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Nieto/Sanz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -4.5 · Nieto/Sanz covers
Model 58%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 4.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~26 games
2-0
34%
2-1
28%
1-2
21%
0-2
18%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)