Nenno/Navarro vs Jofre/Bautista — Padel

2 Jul · 20:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel BordeauxLow · Coin Flip

🎾Nenno/Navarro

ELO 1533

FormWLWWL

51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nenno/Navarro

🎾Jofre/Bautista

ELO 1530

FormWLWWL

51%

49%

Fair odds · Nenno/Navarro

Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 6%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Games handicap -3.5 · Nenno/Navarro covers

Model 45%vsMarket 50%

Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.

Markets

Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 26%Total ~26 games

2-0

26%

2-1

25%

1-2

25%

0-2

24%

Elo Gap+3

H2H0-0

Why this call

Model read

No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.