3 Jul · 19:40 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel BordeauxElite · Strong Favorite
MN
FN
🎾Nenno/Navarro
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Lebron/Augsburger
LA
JL
🎾Lebron/Augsburger
ELO 1603
FormWLWLW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Lebron/Augsburger
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -2.5 · Lebron/Augsburger covers
Model 76%vsMarket 54%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 2.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~26 games
0-2
47%
1-2
30%
2-1
13%
2-0
10%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)