13 Jul · 12:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
IS
JB
🎾Belluati/Sager
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Benitez/Patiniotis
AP
MB
🎾Benitez/Patiniotis
ELO 1527
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Benitez/Patiniotis
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -1.5 · Benitez/Patiniotis covers
Model 90%vsMarket 50%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 1.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~26 games
0-2
45%
1-2
30%
2-1
15%
2-0
11%
Elo Gap+56
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)