13 Jul · 13:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
GR
🎾Fernandez/Rubio
ELO 1490
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Marmolejo/Pereyra
RP
JM
🎾Marmolejo/Pereyra
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Marmolejo/Pereyra
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 27% · 3.68· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -3.5 · Marmolejo/Pereyra covers
Model 70%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 3.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~26 games
0-2
34%
1-2
28%
2-1
21%
2-0
18%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)