14 Jul · 11:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel Malaga. WomenHigh · Clear Favorite
LV
CG
🎾Vano/Gamez
ELO 1495
FormLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Collombon/Sharifova
AC
KS
🎾Collombon/Sharifova
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Collombon/Sharifova
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Collombon/Sharifova covers
Model 49%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~26 games
0-2
35%
1-2
29%
2-1
20%
2-0
17%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.