14 Jul · 13:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
JG
LB
🎾Bergamini/Garrido
ELO 1598
FormWWWWL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Bergamini/Garrido
AP
MB
🎾Benitez/Patiniotis
ELO 1533
FormWWLWW
78%
22%
Fair odds · Bergamini/Garrido
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Bergamini/Garrido covers
Model 59%vsMarket 51%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~26 games
2-0
48%
2-1
29%
1-2
13%
0-2
9%
Elo Gap+65
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)