16 Jul · 14:30 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
AC
AT
🎾Tapia/Coello
ELO 2000
FormWWWWW
100%Win chancemodel fair 1.00Tapia/Coello
AA
TA
🎾Aguirre/Arroyo
ELO 1519
FormWLLLW
100%
0%
Fair odds · Tapia/Coello
Model 100% · 1.00vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -6.5 · Tapia/Coello covers
Model 45%vsMarket 46%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 6.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 96%Total ~21 games
2-0
96%
2-1
4%
Elo Gap+481
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+481)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)