16 Jul · 16:00 MESZ · 🎾 Premier Padel MalagaElite · Strong Favorite
MA
JT
🎾Tello/Arce
ELO 1577
FormWLWWL
100%Win chancemodel fair 1.00Galan/Chingotto
FC
AG
🎾Galan/Chingotto
ELO 1943
FormWLWWW
0%
100%
Fair odds · Galan/Chingotto
Model 100% · 1.00vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Games handicap -5.5 · Galan/Chingotto covers
Model 59%vsMarket 56%
Chance the favourite wins by more than 5.5 games — our empirical model vs the bookmaker's line. The market is usually sharper.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 96%Total ~21 games
0-2
96%
1-2
4%
Elo Gap+366
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+366)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)